Inethiwekhi ye-PON nge-OLT (ngokuvamile egumbini), i-ODN, i-ONU (ngokuvamile kumsebenzisi, noma eduze nendawo yephaseji yomsebenzisi) izingxenye ezintathu, phakathi kwazo, ingxenye ephakathi kwe-OLT kuya ku-ONU yolayini kanye nemishini ayisebenzi, ebizwa kanjalo. inethiwekhi ye-passive optical (PON), ebizwa nangokuthiopticalinethiwekhi yokusabalalisa (i-ODN), ngokuduma kokuxhumana kwe-fiber optical, opharetha abaningi basebenzisa inethiwekhi ye-PON ukuze basekele inethiwekhi yokufinyelela ye-fiber ehlanganisiwe, banikeze ama-FTTH avuthiweukuguqulwa, ukuhlinzeka abasebenzisi ngedatha, ividiyo, izwi namanye amasevisi.
Ngokwesibikezelo sakamuva senhlangano eyaziwayo, imakethe ye-PON yomhlaba wonke izokhula ngenani lokukhula konyaka elihlanganisiwe (CAGR) lika-12.3% phakathi kuka-2020 no-2027, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi ifinyelele ku-$ 16.3 billion ngo-2027, isuka ku-$ 8.2 billion 2020. Ukusetshenziswa kwembobo ye-ONT / ONU bekuqinile eminyakeni yamuva nje, izinhlelo zokusebenza ze-FTTH ne-PON ezindaweni okungezona zokuhlala ziqhuba lokhu kukhula. Ngokwamukelwa kwezixazululo ze-10G ne-25G, i-PON manje isiyatholakala ukuze isekele i-xHaul yeselula kanye nezinsizakalo zezentengiso. Ekupheleni kuka-2022, imali engenayo yedivayisi yembobo ye-PON yesizukulwane esilandelayo kulindeleke ukuthi ihlanganise u-50% wesamba semali engenayo yedivayisi yembobo ye-PON kanye no-87% ngo-2027. Lokhu kufaka izixazululo zembobo ye-Combo PON ezisekela i-10G noma i-25G PON kanye ne-50G PON. Ngaso leso sikhathi, ukuthunyelwa kwembobo ye-PON OLT kuyanda kancane kancane, okubonisa inkambiso yokusatshalaliswa, ukunwetshwa kanye nokuthuthukisa amanethiwekhi. Ngokuvuthwa nokuthandwa kobuchwepheshe be-GPON, kanye nokusetshenziswa kwe-10G EPON, ukusetshenziswa kwechweba le-OLT nakho kuyingxenye engenakunakwa.
I-China sekuyisikhathi eside ingumthengi omkhulu wamadivayisi okufinyelela e-PON, ngokusho kombiko. Lokhu kungenxa yokwamukela kweShayina kusenesikhathi i-FTTH ezweni lonke, futhi inenani elikhulu labantu kanye nokusetshenziswa kwayo. Ngo-2020, i-China yabalelwa ku-45% wesamba sokusetshenziswa kwembobo yedivayisi ye-PON. I-China izoqhubeka nokusebenzisa amadivayisi we-PON, kodwa ngeke isabusa ngesikhathi sokubikezela. Ngo-2027, ama-opharetha eYurophu, Middle East nase-Afrika (EMEA) kanye nayo yonke i-Asia & Oceania izosebenzisa u-51% wesamba samachweba we-PON, kusukela ku-36% ngo-2020. Yonke enye i-Asia & Oceania izokhula kakhulu nge- I-CAGR ka-21.8% phakathi kuka-2020-2027. Opharetha abaningi kule ndawo enkulu bathuthukela ku-10G PON, kuyilapho abanye bakha amanethiwekhi e-FTTH nge-GPON, njengaseNdiya.
Umfanekiso 1: Isibikezelo semali engenayo yempahla ye-PON ngesifunda / izwe (2020-2027)
ENyakatho Melika, opharetha benethiwekhi abahlukahlukene bakha futhi bathuthukise amanethiwekhi e-PON, amanye awo anezwi kakhulu kunamanye. Ngesikhathi sokubikezela, isifunda sizokhula nge-CAGR engama-24.0%. Uxhaso lukahulumeni luzokweseka ukwanda kwenethiwekhi kanye nokungena kwabasebenzisi abasha emakethe.
Amazwe amaningana aseLatin America naseCaribbean atshala imali kumanethiwekhi e-PON, ikakhulukazi ezimakethe zaseMexico naseBrazil. Isifunda kulindeleke ukuthi sikhule nge-CAGR engu-7.1%. Abanye o-opharetha bekhebula kulesi sifunda bashiya i-DOCSIS 4.0 bavuna amanethiwekhi e-PON-centric.